10-Year Treasury Yield
The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield was slightly lower on Monday as investors returned from the Christmas holiday and began to look ahead to the new year. The yield on the 10-year Treasury slipped more than 2 basis points to 4.108%. The yield on the 2-year Treasury was also last seen more than 2 basis points lower at 3.457%.
US Trade in Goods
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
Retail Inventories Adv
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
Wholesale Inventories Adv
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
Pending Home Sales
Based on data released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR), U.S. pending home sales experienced a sharp, unexpected decline in December 2025, falling 9.3% month-over-month to an index level of 71.8. This significant drop reversed a four-month streak of gains and was the largest monthly decline since April 2020.
EIA Crude Oil
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
Fed Balance Sheet
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
US Dollar Index
The U.S. dollar remains stable against a basket of currencies during the quiet holiday trading period, due to a lack of new catalysts. The dollar index is currently steady at 98.01.
Shiller Home Index
In October 2025, the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index showed a 1.4% year-over-year increase, continuing a trend of cooling price growth. The national index stood at 328.98, while the 20-City Composite rose 1.3% annually, as high mortgage rates slowed market momentum and caused broad monthly declines across most cities.
FHFA Home Index
In October 2025, the S&P Cotality Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index showed a 1.4% year-over-year increase, continuing a trend of cooling price growth. The national index stood at 328.98, while the 20-City Composite rose 1.3% annually, as high mortgage rates slowed market momentum and caused broad monthly declines across most cities.
Chicago PMI
The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December 2025 rose to 43.5, indicating a rebound from November's low of 36.3, but still reflecting ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector. The Chicago PMI increased by 7.2 points from November, surpassing market expectations of 39.5. However, it marks the 25th consecutive month that the index has remained below the neutral level of 50, which indicates contraction in manufacturing activity.
FOMC Minutes
The Federal Reserve on Tuesday released the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting that was held on December 9–10, 2025. Fed minutes show officials were in tight split over December rate cut. The Federal Reserve on Tuesday released minutes from its highly divisive meeting earlier this month, which concluded with a vote to lower interest rates again that appeared to be an even closer call than the final vote indicated.Officials expressed a variety of opinions during the Dec. 9-10 meeting,according to the summary provided a day ahead of its customary release due to the New Year’s holiday. Ultimately, the Federal Open Market Committee approved a quarter-percentage point cut by a 9-3 vote, the most dissents since 2019
Crypto World Bitcoin
Bitcoin +2.34%. Predictions from experts suggest that Bitcoin could climb to $187,500 in the coming months.
Jobless Initial Claims
U.S. initial jobless claims dropped to 199,000 for the week ending December 27, 2025, a significant decrease from the previous week's 215,000, according to data released on December 31, 2025. Despite this weekly decline reflecting low layoffs, the labor market remained soft, with the unemployment rate hovering at 4.4% in December 2025.
EIA Crude Oil Report
U.S. crude stocks fell while gasoline and distillate inventories rose last week on robust refining activity, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday. Crude inventories fell by 1.9 million barrels to 422.9 million barrels in the week ended December 26, the EIA said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 867,000-barrel draw. Analysts pointed to ad valorem taxes applied to crude inventories - which typically prompt a reduction in stocks - as a reason for the drawdown.
Hedging Gold
Gold ended in -1.32%. Current price of gold as of December 31, 2025. At 10:25 a.m. Eastern Time on December 31, gold was valued at $4,333 per ounce.
New Year 2026
New Year 2026, markets closed.
Mortgage Rates
As of December 31, 2025, U.S. mortgage rates hit yearly lows, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaging approximately 6.15% to 6.20%. This decline, driven by a tightening spread, signaled increased affordability at the end of the year, with some reports noting rates falling to levels last seen in October 2024.
PMI Mfg Final
The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI was confirmed at 51.8 in December 2025, falling from 52.2 in November and signaling the weakest expansion in the sector's five-month growth streak. The final December figure of 51.8 was in line with both the initial flash estimate and market expectations.
Construction Spending
Report Delayed due to the government shut down,.
Fed Balance Sheet
As of late December 2025, the Federal Reserve's total assets (balance sheet) stood at approximately $6.6 trillion. This represents a significant decline from its peak, with Quantitative Tightening (QT) having concluded around December 1, 2025.
S&P 500 Index
S&P 500 Index ended in -0.29%
VIX Volatility Index
VIX ended in +1.41% which is negative.
Geopolitical Risk
Nicolás Maduro,former president of Venezuela, was arrested on January 3, 2026, by U.S. in Caracas.
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