10-Year Treasury Yield
Treasury yields dropped to start the week as investors tracked lower global crude oil prices — dimming the outlook for faster inflation, for now — amid the continued U.S.-Iran war, and looked ahead to the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting this week. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was more than 5 basis points lower at 4.226%, while the 30-year Treasury bond shed more than 4 basis points to yield 4.865%.
Empire State Mfg
The latest release of the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index has revealed a surprising downturn in the general business conditions of New York state. The index, which is a key measure of manufacturing health, posted an actual reading of -0.20. This figure is significantly below the forecasted level of 4.00, indicating a shift in the economic landscape that analysts had not anticipated.
Industrial Production
U.S. Industrial Production Rises 0.2% In February, Slightly More Than Expected. A report released by the Federal Reserve on Monday showed industrial production in the U.S. increased by slightly more than expected in the month of February. The Fed said industrial production rose by 0.2 percent in February after climbing by 0.7 percent in January. Economists had expected industrial production to inch up by 0.1 percent.
Housing Market Index
uilder sentiment inched up in March even as builders continue to express affordability concerns stemming from elevated construction costs and shortages of buildable lots and labor.Builder confidence in the market for newly built single-family homes rose one point to 38 in March, following a revised upward one-point revision in February, according to the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. All responses to the March survey were received after the conflict with Iran started.
US Dollar Index
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is trading around 100.00-100.20 as of March 16, 2026, pulling back from a nearly 10-month high of 100.54. The dollar is supported by safe-haven demand due to geopolitical tensions and energy price volatility, with markets closely watching upcoming Fed policy meetings for future direction.
Pending Home Sales Index
The pending home sales index in the United States has shown signs of recovery, with a 1.8% increase in February 2026. This rise is attributed to lower mortgage rates and improved affordability conditions. However, the increase is expected to be limited by factors such as the ongoing war in the Middle East and the impact of higher oil prices on mortgage rates. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) has indicated that unless housing supply increases, the additional potential buyers could simply push up home prices, increasing pressure on affordability.
Crypto World Bitcoin
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price recovery extended into a third week as the price rallied to $74,509, a level not seen since Feb. 4. While markets remain reluctant to confirm whether or not Bitcoin bottomed, the cryptocurrency is up 22.5% from its Feb. 6 low at $60,000 and data point to a renewed institutional investor appetite as a potential key player in the current bullish breakout.
MBA Mortage Applications
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PPI
The U.S. central bank held
Factory Orders
The U.S. central bank held
EIA Crude Oil Report
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FOMC Meeting
The U.S. central bank held interest rates steady on Wednesday and projected higher inflation, steady unemployment and a single reduction in borrowing costs this year, a path that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said was subject to unusually high uncertainty as policymakers take stock of the impact of the U.S. and Israeli war with Iran. US central bank maintains policy rate in 3.50%-3.75% range Policymakers project higher inflation, still see one rate cut in 2026.
TIC Treasury Intal Capital
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Hedging Gold
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Jobless Initial Claims
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Philadelphia Fedd Mfg index
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Nedw Home Sales
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Business Inventories
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Wholesale Inventories
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Fed Balance Sheet
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Mortgage Rates
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S&P 500 Index
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VIX Volatility Index
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Geopolitical Risks
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