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Week 24 -2023 | From Jun. 12 to Jun. 16, 2023 |
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| Week 24 -2023 | From Jun. 12 to Jun. 16, 2023 |
10-Year Treasury Yield
mmmm0.01%.
Treasury Budget
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CPI
The inflation rate cooled in May to its lowest annual rate in more than two years, likely taking pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates, the Labor Department reported Tuesday. The consumer price index, which measures changes in a multitude of goods and services, increased just 0.1% for the month, bringing the annual level down to 4% from 4.9% in April. That 12-month increase was the smallest since March 2021, when inflation was just beginning to rise to what would become the highest in 41 years.
Inflation rose at a 4% annual rate in May, the lowest in 2 years. The consumer price index increased just 0.1% for the month and 4% from a year ago, the latter being the lowest level in about two years. Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 0.4% and 5.3%, respectively. All the numbers were in line with consensus estimates. Following the release, markets priced in a nearly 100% chance that the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates this week.
MBA Purchase Applications
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PPI
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FOMC
The Federal Reserve delivered what investors wanted this week when the central bank left rates unchanged Wednesday after 10 consecutive hikes. While the Fed signaled that two more rate increases were coming this year, many traders and economists on Wall Street believe the Fed could be nearly done. Earlier in the week, the May consumer price index came in at the lowest in two years. Fed holds off on rate hike, but says two more are coming later this year After a two-day meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to leave interest rates unchanged. “Holding the target range steady at this meeting allows the Committee to assess additional information and its implications for monetary policy,” the central bank’s post-meeting statement said. The surprising aspect of the decision came with the “dot plot” in which the individual members of the FOMC indicate their expectations for rates further out. The dots moved decidedly upward, pushing the median expectation to a funds rate of 5.6% by the end of 2023.
Jobless Claims
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Philly Index
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Retail Sales
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Empire
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Importy and Exports
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Industrial Production
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Business Inventories
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TIC
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Consumer Sentiment
Friday brought more good news on the inflation and economic front. Consumer inflation expectations fell in June, with one-year assumptions for price pressures declining to 3.3% from 4.2% in May. The headline reading from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumers came in at 63.9, higher than estimates of 60.2 from Dow Jones
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