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Week 45 -2012 | From Nov 05 to Nov 09, 2012 |
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Economic Data for Week 45-2012 | Global View | Week Rating
| DATE |
DAY |
REPORT/CATEGORY |
HIGHLIGHTS ON WEEK 45-2012 |
Last |
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Mon |
ISM Non-Mfg Index |
The Institute for Supply Management reports that its ISM non-manufacturing index decreased to 54.2 in October, down from 55.1 in September. |
54.2
Level
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Business Actvity |
This decrease follows four consecutive months of gains. Although below the prior month�s figure, this is yet another reading above 50 and signals economic expansion. |
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Tue |
ICSC Goldman Index |
Store sales in the U.S. saw a sharp decline this week as hurricane Sandy kept many potential shoppers indoors. |
-0.2%
W/W
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Sales and Inventories |
ICSC-Goldman same store sales are now up only 1.4% year over year, compared to 2.8% Y/Y just a week ago. |
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Tue |
Johnson Redbook |
The Redbook plummeted as well, and is now up only 0.8% Y/Y compared to 1.8% Y/Y a week ago. This was due to Hurricane Sandy that forced to close stores and keep shoppers at home. |
0.8%
Y/Y
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Sales and Inventories |
The latest year-on-year rate is lowest since the Easter distortions of April 2011. Expect a strong rebound week ahead as shoppers attempt to replace all that was lost from the disaster. |
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Wed |
MBA purchase Applications |
Mortgage applications decreased 5.0% from one week earlier, for the week ending November 2, 2012. The Refinance and Purchase Index also decreased 5% from the previous week.� |
-5.0%
W/W
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Real Estate |
The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 5.0% on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 5% compared with the previous week. |
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Mon |
Consumer Credit |
The Federal Reserve reports that in September consumer credit rose $11.4 billion to $2.7372 trillion.Revolving credit decreased $2.9 billion to $852.0 billion, following a $4.2 billion increase in August. |
$11.4B |
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Consumer |
Nonrevolving credit on the other hand increased $14.3 billion to $1.8852 trillion, following a $14.1 billion increase in August. The increase in nonrevolving credit was once again led by the federal government, as outstanding student loads have skyrocketed during the recession. |
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Wed |
EIA Crude Oil Report |
In the week ending at November 2, Crude Oil Stocks grew by 1.766M in the US, according to EIA. The indicator showed a decline of -2.045M in the prior week. |
3.3% |
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Commodity |
US: EIA Crude Oil Stocks grow 1.766M in Nov-2 |
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Thu |
U.S. Trade Balance |
The Bureau of Economic analysis reports that the trade deficit in September was $41.5 billion, a decrease from August�s revised figure of $43.8 billion. |
$-41.5B |
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Balance of Payments |
September exports were $187.0 billion, higher than August exports of $181.4 billion. September imports were $228.5 billion, higher than August imports of $225.2 billion |
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Thu |
Jobless/Initial Claims |
The Department of Labor reports that jobless claims declined to 355k last week, reasonably better than the week prior figure of 363k. The prior week�s figure was unrevised. |
355K |
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Employment |
We have gotten used to seeing upward revisions to jobless claims of 3k or more every week like clockwork. This is the first time in what seems like a very, very long time that there has not been an upward revision. |
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Thu |
EIA Natural Gas Report |
Working gas in storage was 3,929 Bcf as of Friday, November 2, 2012, according to EIA estimates. This represents a net increase of 21 Bcf from the previous week. Stocks were 109 Bcf higher than last year at this time and 244 Bcf above the 5-year average of 3,685 Bcf. |
21 bcf |
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Commodity |
Natural gas in storage rose 21 billion cubic feet in the November 2 week to 3,929 bcf. An injection of 25 bcf was expected. |
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Thu |
Fed Balance Sheet |
US Fed balance sheet liabilities fell to USD 2.813trl as of Nov 7 vs. USD 2.805trl the previous week. ed holdings of US Treasuries total USD 1.651trl as of Nov 7 vs. USD 1.645trl the prev. week. |
-8.4B |
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Government |
Currently the Fed is buying mortgage-backed securities at a rate of $40 billion each month. The dashed orange line assumes that if this $40 billion per month continues over the next few years, America�s balance sheet expands to about $4.5 trillion by the end of 2016. |
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Thu |
M2 Money Supply |
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$-1.9B |
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Money Supply |
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Fri |
Fixed Mortgage Rates |
The 30-year fixed mortgage rate hovered between 3.23 and 3.3% for the majority of the week, rising to the current rate this morning. |
3.25% |
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Interest Rates |
Additionally, the 15-year fixed mortgage rate this morning was 2.66%, and for 5/1 ARMs, the rate was 2.4%. |
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Fri |
Import and Export Prices |
The price index for U.S. imports rose 0.5% in October. Higher fuel and nonfuel prices each contributed to the October advance. U.S. export prices were unchanged in October after increasing 0.8 percent in September. |
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Inflation |
Imports All Imports: Import prices rose for the third consecutive month in October, increasing 0.5% after a 1.1% advance in September and a 1.2% rise in August. This upturn was largely driven by higher fuel prices, although nonfuel prices. |
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Fri |
Wholesale Trade |
Wholesale inventories rose a steep 1.1% in September in a build that is easily offset by a 2.0% jump in sales at the wholesale level. |
1.1% |
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Sales and Inventories |
The mix makes for a leaner stock-to-sales ratio which is at 1.19. The level of wholesale inventories is one of three components that are plugged into the business inventories report.� |
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Fri |
Consumer Sentiment |
The Reuters / University of Michigan consumer sentiment index rose this morning to a November preliminary reading of 84.9. |
84.9 |
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Consumer |
This is an increase to October�s reading of 82.6, and is the highest reading since July of 2007. In short, consumer sentiment is strong, up 2.3 points to another recovery best of 84.9 at the mid-month reading. |
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| WEEK 45-2012 ENDING NOV. 09 |
Reports Commentary
Write commentarys for this week...
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| MARKET PROFILE |
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WEEKS 2012 |
WEEK 45 |
% FROM CLOSE |
% FROM OPEN |
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RESISTANCE 1 |
1,330.25 |
1.39% |
1.35% |
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RESISTANCE 2 |
1,326.25 |
1.08% |
1.04% |
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CLOSE MAR 02 |
1,350.00 |
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OPEN MAR 04 |
1,255.00 |
0.04% |
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SUPPORT 1 |
1,289.00 |
0.66% |
0.62% |
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SUPPORT 2 |
1,283.50 |
0.08% |
0.04% |
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IMPORTANT NOTE: In an effort to comply with all applicable rules, regulations and disclosures please be so kind and read the "General Disclosure" below: |
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| GENERAL DISCLOSURE - TRADINGVESTING.COM |
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