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Week 28 - 2026 | From Jul. 06 to Jul. 12, 2026
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  Bond Market | 10 Year Yield Neutral View   MBA Mortgage Applications Negative View   30Y Mortgage Rates Neutral View
           
           
    US Trade Balance Negative View   Jobless Initial Claims Positive View
PMI Services Final Negative View      
       
       
  PMI Services Final Negative View        
        Existing Home Sales Negative View  
      EIA Crude Oil Report Neutral View    
         
           
           
           
           
           
      FOMC Minutes for Meeting #4 Negative View    
           
      Consumer Credit Negative View    
           
         
         
       
        Fed Balance Sheet Neutral View S&P 500 Index N/A
           
  Currencies | US Dollar Index Neutral View Crypto World | Bitcoin Neutral View Hedging | Gold Neutral View Commodities | Copper Neutral View Volatility | VIX Neutral View
           
        Geopolitical Risks Neutral View
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Week 28-2026 | Rating

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Week 28-2026 | Chart

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Week 28 - 2026 | From Jul. 06 to Jul. 12, 2026
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Week 28-2026 | Brief News

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Week 28 - 2026 | From Jul. 06 to Jul. 12, 2026

One thing to watch closely Monday:

Futures are modestly higher ahead of the market open as geopolitical tensions have eased following reports of a pause in hostilities involving the U.S. and Iran. That has improved investor sentiment.Geopolitical risks haven't disappeared. Although recent tensions have eased, events involving trade, conflicts, or political developments can quickly affect market sentiment.

Current S&P 500 Situation at this Moment:

The backdrop for the S&P 500 remains favorable because corporate earnings have generally surprised to the upside, particularly in AI-related industries, and many Wall Street firms have recently raised their year-end targets. Corporate earnings expectations are high.

As of Monday, June 29, 2026, the S&P 500 is at an interesting point: the long-term trend is still bullish, but the market has become more fragile in the short term. The index remains well above its April lows, reflecting a strong recovery during the first half of the year, largely driven by AI-related companies and resilient corporate earnings.

A few warning signs:

Several technical analysts see signs that a short-term correction could be underway. The trading week is shortened by the July 4 holiday, which can reduce liquidity and amplify price swings. The market is still trading at elevated valuations.

Our View for Next week:

U.S. jobs report (Thursday): This is likely the week's biggest market-moving event. A stronger-than-expected labor market could reinforce economic strength but also increase concerns that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer. Companies now need to keep delivering strong growth to justify current prices. Even good earnings can disappoint investors if they fall short of elevated expectations.

       
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