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Week 28 - 2026 | From Jul. 06 to Jul. 12, 2026 |
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| Week 28 - 2026 | From Jul. 06 to Jul. 12, 2026 |
One thing to watch closely Monday:
Futures are modestly higher ahead of the market open as geopolitical tensions have eased following reports of a pause in hostilities involving the U.S. and Iran. That has improved investor sentiment.Geopolitical risks haven't disappeared. Although recent tensions have eased, events involving trade, conflicts, or political developments can quickly affect market sentiment.
Current S&P 500 Situation at this Moment:
The backdrop for the S&P 500 remains favorable because corporate earnings have generally surprised to the upside, particularly in AI-related industries, and many Wall Street firms have recently raised their year-end targets. Corporate earnings expectations are high.
As of Monday, June 29, 2026, the S&P 500 is at an interesting point: the long-term trend is still bullish, but the market has become more fragile in the short term. The index remains well above its April lows, reflecting a strong recovery during the first half of the year, largely driven by AI-related companies and resilient corporate earnings.
A few warning signs:
Several technical analysts see signs that a short-term correction could be underway. The trading week is shortened by the July 4 holiday, which can reduce liquidity and amplify price swings. The market is still trading at elevated valuations.
Our View for Next week:
U.S. jobs report (Thursday): This is likely the week's biggest market-moving event. A stronger-than-expected labor market could reinforce economic strength but also increase concerns that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates higher for longer. Companies now need to keep delivering strong growth to justify current prices. Even good earnings can disappoint investors if they fall short of elevated expectations. |
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