One thing to watch closely Monday:

Overall, I expect a volatile but slightly bullish week, with markets likely to react sharply to economic data and earnings. The biggest drivers will be inflation data, major bank earnings, and developments in the Middle East.


The 5 biggest market drivers

1. U.S. Inflation (CPI) – Tuesday
This is the week's most important economic report.

Lower-than-expected inflation could increase expectations for Fed rate cuts and support stocks.


2. Bank Earnings Kick Off Earnings Season
Major financial institutions are scheduled to report, including:

JPMorgan Chase


3. AI and Technology
AI remains the primary structural driver of the bull market. Investors will be watching:

Semiconductor companies
AI infrastructure spending


4. Middle East
The biggest downside risk remains geopolitical.

Watch for:

Oil prices


5. Bond Yields
If Treasury yields remain stable, equities should have support.

A sharp rise in yields would likely pressure high-valuation technology stocks.

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